Home📌OtherWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 1h ago

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Live prediction market odds for "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?". 6,200 is leading at 77.3%. The next most likely outcome is 5,800 at 53.0%. Total volume is $41K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
6,200
77.3%
Total Vol
$41K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
6,200
$8K volume
77.3%
5,800
$6K volume
53.0%
7,400
$679 volume
39.5%
7,600
$2K volume
33.0%
5,200
$6K volume
26.5%
7,800
$498 volume
15.0%
4,500
$7K volume
13.0%
8,200
$467 volume
11.5%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?". 6,200 is leading at 77.3%. The next most likely outcome is 5,800 at 53.0%. Total volume is $41K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 26 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1089h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1089h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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