What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
Live prediction market odds for "What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?". Between 10% and 19.99% is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Below 10% at 15.0%. Total volume is $7K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?". Between 10% and 19.99% is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Below 10% at 15.0%. Total volume is $7K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jul 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.