Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2027
$131K volume
26.0%
—
Before October
$99K volume
23.0%
—
Before July
$10K volume
3.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (8mo)Updated 13m ago
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Live prediction market odds for "When will Apple release the iPhone 18?". Before 2027 is leading at 26.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before October at 23.0%. Total volume is $249K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Before 2027
26.0%
Total Vol
$249K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "When will Apple release the iPhone 18?". Before 2027 is leading at 26.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before October at 23.0%. Total volume is $249K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.025 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
4h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
4h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
New iPhone 18, iPhone Air 2 leaks on design, release date arrive - 9to5Mac
9to5Mac·23m ago·neutral
iPhone 18 Pro Leak Teases Key Features Ahead of September Launch - TechRepublic
TechRepublic·25m ago·neutral
New iPhone 18 Pro Leaks: Release Date, Specs, Features, Colors & What's Coming in 2026 - Tech Times
Tech Times·3h ago·neutral
iPhone 18 expected price in India, USA, UK, Canada, launch date, camera, display, processor and more - financialexpress.com
financialexpress.com·3h ago·neutral
iPhone 18 Release Date Leak: Apple May Split Launch Into Phases, Standard Models Delayed to 2027; Check Expected Date, Price, Specifications & More - The Sunday Guardian
The Sunday Guardian·3h ago·bearish
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