Home🤖ai_techWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Live marketEnds May 1, 2027 (1y 24d)Updated 2m ago

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

Live prediction market odds for "When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?". Before May 1, 2027 is leading at 33.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 22.0%. Total volume is $97K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Before May 1, 2027
33.0%
Total Vol
$97K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before May 1, 2027
$15K volume
33.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
$13K volume
22.0%
Before Mar 1, 2027
$9K volume
17.0%
Before Feb 1, 2027
$5K volume
16.0%
Before Dec 1, 2026
$6K volume
15.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
$8K volume
15.0%
Before Oct 1, 2026
$8K volume
12.0%
Before Nov 1, 2026
$5K volume
10.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?". Before May 1, 2027 is leading at 33.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 22.0%. Total volume is $97K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: May 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.005 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 10 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
102h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
102h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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