Home🤖ai_techWhich banks will fail by June 30?
Live marketEnds Jun 30, 2026 (2mo)Updated 11m ago

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Live prediction market odds for "Which banks will fail by June 30?". Citigroup is leading at 2.0%. The next most likely outcome is UBS at 1.9%. Total volume is $364K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Citigroup
2.0%
Total Vol
$364K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Citigroup
$9K volume
2.0%
UBS
$30K volume
1.9%
Scotiabank
$33K volume
1.7%
HSBC
$26K volume
1.6%
BNP Paribas
$22K volume
1.5%
JPMorgan Chase
$84K volume
1.4%
Goldman Sachs
$19K volume
1.4%
Deutsche Bank
$141K volume
1.3%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which banks will fail by June 30?". Citigroup is leading at 2.0%. The next most likely outcome is UBS at 1.9%. Total volume is $364K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jun 30, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 10 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
6004h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
6004h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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