Home🤖ai_techWhich companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?
Live marketEnds Jul 1, 2026 (2mo)Updated 15m ago

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?". SoFi is leading at 32.0%. The next most likely outcome is Alnylam Pharmaceuticals at 28.0%. Total volume is $13K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.

Leading Outcome
SoFi
32.0%
Total Vol
$13K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
SoFi
$5K volume
32.0%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
$248 volume
28.0%
Pure Storage
$1K volume
18.0%
Reddit
$668 volume
16.0%
CoreWeave
$346 volume
7.0%
Affirm Holdings
$1K volume
6.0%
SpaceX
$3K volume
6.0%
Toast
$166 volume
4.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?". SoFi is leading at 32.0%. The next most likely outcome is Alnylam Pharmaceuticals at 28.0%. Total volume is $13K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jul 1, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
283h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
283h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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