Homeโ€บ๐Ÿค–ai_techโ€บWhich companies will be removed from the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?
Live marketEnds Jul 1, 2026 (2mo)Updated 13m ago

Which companies will be removed from the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will be removed from the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?". Norwegian Cruise Line is leading at 38.0%. The next most likely outcome is LyondellBasell Industries at 23.0%. Total volume is $6K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Norwegian Cruise Line
38.0%
Total Vol
$6K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Norwegian Cruise Line
$1K volume
38.0%
โ€”
LyondellBasell Industries
$1K volume
23.0%
โ€”
Hasbro
$974 volume
22.0%
โ€”
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
$252 volume
14.0%
โ€”
The Trade Desk
$2K volume
11.0%
โ€”
Charter Communications
$232 volume
11.0%
โ€”
Dollar Tree
$110 volume
10.0%
โ€”
Solventum Corporation
$24 volume
10.0%
โ€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will be removed from the S&P 500 in Q2 2026?". Norwegian Cruise Line is leading at 38.0%. The next most likely outcome is LyondellBasell Industries at 23.0%. Total volume is $6K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jul 1, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score โ€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown ยท Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A ยท Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B ยท Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C ยท Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

Related Markets Markets

Explore Other Categories