Home🤖ai_techWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (23d)Updated 7m ago

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?". UAE is leading at 24.5%. The next most likely outcome is Saudi Arabia at 15.5%. Total volume is $1.2M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Leading Outcome
UAE
24.5%
Total Vol
$1.2M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
UAE
$456K volume
24.5%
Saudi Arabia
$220K volume
15.5%
Kuwait
$44K volume
9.7%
Any E.U. Country
$20K volume
4.5%
Bahrain
$16K volume
4.3%
Qatar
$5K volume
4.0%
UK
$146K volume
3.4%
Turkey
$31K volume
2.6%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?". UAE is leading at 24.5%. The next most likely outcome is Saudi Arabia at 15.5%. Total volume is $1.2M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 81 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
1
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1243h
Sources
1
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1243h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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