Home🎬CultureWhich countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
Live marketEnds May 14, 2026 (1mo)Updated 1m ago

Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?". Italy is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Poland at 99.0%. Total volume is $15K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 14, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Italy
99.0%
Total Vol
$15K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Italy
$6 volume
99.0%
Poland
$1 volume
99.0%
Belgium
$230 volume
98.0%
Finland
$50 volume
97.0%
Croatia
$100 volume
97.0%
Portugal
$613 volume
97.0%
Estonia
Volume n/a
95.5%
Iceland
$2K volume
11.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2026?". Italy is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Poland at 99.0%. Total volume is $15K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 14, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 14, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.030 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
129h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
129h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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