Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
NASDAQ
$16K volume
94.5%
—
Other
$54K volume
6.2%
—
NYSE
$17K volume
0.3%
—
Live marketUpdated 2m ago
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
Live prediction market odds for "Which exchange will SpaceX list on?". NASDAQ is leading at 94.5%. The next most likely outcome is Other at 6.2%. Total volume is $88K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket.
Leading Outcome
NASDAQ
94.5%
Total Vol
$88K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Which exchange will SpaceX list on?". NASDAQ is leading at 94.5%. The next most likely outcome is Other at 6.2%. Total volume is $88K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
104h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
104h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
E*TRADE is in talks with SpaceX to take the lead in its upcoming IPO
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
SpaceX Files $1.75 Trillion IPO, Targets June Listing - 조선일보
조선일보·3d ago·neutral
Musk’s SpaceX Files to Go Public in One of the Biggest IPOs Ever
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
SpaceX IPO Could Reshape the Fragile US Market Recovery
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
Elon Musk's SpaceX set to go public in $1 trillion share listing - BBC
BBC·4d ago·neutral
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