Home🎬CultureWhich movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 9m ago

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?". Avengers: Doomsday is leading at 82.5%. The next most likely outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 8.5%. Total volume is $1.4M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Avengers: Doomsday
82.5%
Total Vol
$1.4M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Avengers: Doomsday
$101K volume
82.5%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$30K volume
8.5%
Movie A
$5K volume
2.4%
Dune: Messiah
$83K volume
2.1%
Toy Story 5
$176K volume
2.1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$30K volume
1.9%
The Odyssey
$139K volume
1.7%
Michael
$485K volume
1.3%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?". Avengers: Doomsday is leading at 82.5%. The next most likely outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 8.5%. Total volume is $1.4M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
6h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
6h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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