Home🎬CultureWhich songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in April?
Live marketEnds Apr 25, 2026 (19d)Updated 15m ago

Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in April?

Live prediction market odds for "Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in April?". Choosin' Texas is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Elizabeth Taylor at 9.0%. Total volume is $278K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 25, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Choosin' Texas
99.0%
Total Vol
$278K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Choosin' Texas
$58K volume
99.0%
Elizabeth Taylor
$87K volume
9.0%
Man I Need
$14K volume
5.0%
Babydoll
$3K volume
2.0%
Risk it All
$1K volume
1.0%
DtMF
$4K volume
1.0%
Porch Light
$1K volume
1.0%
Opalite
$2K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in April?". Choosin' Texas is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Elizabeth Taylor at 9.0%. Total volume is $278K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 25, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 25, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
136h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
136h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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