What are the odds of Amanda McKinney in Who will advance from the WA-04 primary??

Amanda McKinney is currently priced at 78.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of John Duresky in Who will advance from the WA-04 primary??

John Duresky is currently priced at 65.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Jerrod Sessler in Who will advance from the WA-04 primary??

Jerrod Sessler is currently priced at 49.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Wesley Meier in Who will advance from the WA-04 primary??

Wesley Meier is currently priced at 8.0% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Dan Newhouse in Who will advance from the WA-04 primary??

Dan Newhouse is currently priced at 6.0% in prediction markets.

Home›📌Other›Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?

Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 12m ago

Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?". Amanda McKinney is leading at 78.0%. The next most likely outcome is John Duresky at 65.0%. Total volume is $10K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome

Amanda McKinney

78.0%

Total Vol

$10K

Across all linked platforms

Platform

Kalshi only

Best Spread

0 bps

High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome

Market Prob

Spread

Amanda McKinney

$4K volume

78.0%

—

John Duresky

$167 volume

65.0%

—

Jerrod Sessler

$1K volume

49.0%

—

Wesley Meier

$4K volume

8.0%

—

Dan Newhouse

$455 volume

6.0%

—

How This Market Resolves

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

Confidence

Low confidence signal

Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.

Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles

Metric Pack A · Lean

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bull/Bear

0.00x

Source Diversity

Metric Pack B · Balanced

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bullish %

Bearish %

Median Age

—

Sources

Metric Pack C · Power

Confidence

Label

unavailable

Bullish %

Bearish %

Median Age

—

Avg Sentiment

0.000

Neutral %

Duplicate %

Coverage trend: No coverage

Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?

Current Odds

How This Market Resolves

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

How fresh is this data?

News Sentiment Signal

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