Home📌OtherWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Live marketEnds Feb 28, 2026 (Ended)Updated 12m ago

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?". Rafael Grossi is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mia Mottley at 36.0%. Total volume is $36K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Rafael Grossi
49.0%
Total Vol
$36K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Rafael Grossi
$14K volume
49.0%
Mia Mottley
$314 volume
36.0%
Amina Mohammed
$2K volume
29.5%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
$443 volume
28.0%
Michelle Bachelet
$16K volume
24.0%
Jacinda Ardern
$365 volume
23.8%
Kristalina Georgieva
$281 volume
15.8%
Rebeca Grynspan
$422 volume
15.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?". Rafael Grossi is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mia Mottley at 36.0%. Total volume is $36K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Feb 28, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
272h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
272h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Other Markets

Explore Other Categories