Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?". Rafael Grossi is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mia Mottley at 36.0%. Total volume is $36K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?". Rafael Grossi is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Mia Mottley at 36.0%. Total volume is $36K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 28, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Feb 28, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.