Home📈EconomicsWho will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 15m ago

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?". Elon Musk is leading at 97.0%. The next most likely outcome is Larry Page at 68.0%. Total volume is $22K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Elon Musk
97.0%
Total Vol
$22K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Elon Musk
$2K volume
97.0%
Larry Page
$7K volume
68.0%
Sergey Brin
$646 volume
45.0%
Jeff Bezos
$3K volume
38.0%
Mark Zuckerberg
$4K volume
25.0%
Larry Ellison
$3K volume
18.0%
Jensen Huang
$3K volume
11.0%
Steve Ballmer
$4 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?". Elon Musk is leading at 97.0%. The next most likely outcome is Larry Page at 68.0%. Total volume is $22K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
566h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
566h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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