Home🤖ai_techWho will be the world's first trillionaire?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2030 (3y 271d)Updated 7m ago

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the world's first trillionaire?". Elon Musk is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jensen Huang at 4.0%. Total volume is $224K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.

Leading Outcome
Elon Musk
87.0%
Total Vol
$224K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Elon Musk
$101K volume
87.0%
Jensen Huang
$23K volume
4.0%
Jeff Bezos
$21K volume
3.0%
Larry Page
$5K volume
2.0%
Larry Ellison
$9K volume
2.0%
Sam Altman
$13K volume
2.0%
Bernard Arnault & family
$13K volume
2.0%
Mark Zuckerberg
$12K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the world's first trillionaire?". Elon Musk is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jensen Huang at 4.0%. Total volume is $224K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2030.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
109h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
109h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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