Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Kevin Cramer
$1K volume
7.0%
—
Steve Daines
$1K volume
5.0%
—
John Thune
$2K volume
4.0%
—
Tom Cole
$1K volume
3.0%
—
Mike Johnson
$8K volume
2.0%
—
Live marketEnds Feb 1, 2027 (10mo)Updated 8m ago
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?". Kevin Cramer is leading at 7.0%. The next most likely outcome is Steve Daines at 5.0%. Total volume is $14K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Feb 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Kevin Cramer
7.0%
Total Vol
$14K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?". Kevin Cramer is leading at 7.0%. The next most likely outcome is Steve Daines at 5.0%. Total volume is $14K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Feb 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Feb 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
867h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
867h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Why There’s a Chance California Elects a Republican Governor - The New York Times
The New York Times·16d ago·neutral
The World’s Richest Man Unleashes on the Senate’s Top Republican
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
4 takeaways from the money race for US Senate in Kentucky - Kentucky Lantern
Kentucky Lantern·19d ago·neutral
5 Things to Know About Jasmine Crockett - The New York Times
The New York Times·33d ago·neutral
Roy Cooper, Michael Whatley secure nominations in North Carolina US Senate race - WCNC
WCNC·34d ago·neutral
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