Home🎬CultureWho will have a #1 album this year?
Live marketEnds Dec 27, 2026 (8mo)Updated 4m ago

Who will have a #1 album this year?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 album this year?". Ella Langley is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is Noah Kahan at 88.0%. Total volume is $243K across 106 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 27, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Ella Langley
93.0%
Total Vol
$243K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ella Langley
$15K volume
93.0%
Noah Kahan
$872 volume
88.0%
Stray Kids
$2K volume
85.0%
Drake
$4K volume
80.0%
Beyoncé
$1K volume
76.0%
Ariana Grande
$4K volume
74.0%
Future
$3K volume
70.0%
Post Malone
$546 volume
59.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 album this year?". Ella Langley is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is Noah Kahan at 88.0%. Total volume is $243K across 106 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 27, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 27, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1393h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1393h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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