Home🎬CultureWho will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in April?
Live marketEnds May 1, 2026 (25d)Updated 1m ago

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in April?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in April?". Olivia Rodrigo is leading at 75.0%. The next most likely outcome is Drake at 53.0%. Total volume is $37K across 35 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Olivia Rodrigo
75.0%
Total Vol
$37K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Olivia Rodrigo
$26K volume
75.0%
Drake
$46 volume
53.0%
The Weeknd
Volume n/a
49.5%
Lana Del Rey
Volume n/a
49.5%
Yeat
Volume n/a
49.5%
A$AP Rocky
Volume n/a
47.5%
Dominic Fike
$952 volume
46.0%
Noah Kahan
$782 volume
27.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in April?". Olivia Rodrigo is leading at 75.0%. The next most likely outcome is Drake at 53.0%. Total volume is $37K across 35 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 1, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 17 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
167h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
167h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Culture Markets

Explore Other Categories