Home🎬CultureWho will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in April?
Live marketEnds May 1, 2026 (25d)Updated 7m ago

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in April?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in April?". Ella Langley is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Olivia Rodrigo at 95.0%. Total volume is $96K across 35 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Ella Langley
99.0%
Total Vol
$96K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ella Langley
$15K volume
99.0%
Olivia Rodrigo
$29K volume
95.0%
Noah Kahan
$1K volume
83.0%
Drake
$771 volume
47.0%
Playboi Carti
$14 volume
33.0%
Ariana Grande
$682 volume
25.0%
The Weeknd
$216 volume
18.0%
Morgan Wallen
$77 volume
17.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in April?". Ella Langley is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Olivia Rodrigo at 95.0%. Total volume is $96K across 35 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 1, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 20 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1503h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1503h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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