Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
April 30
$21K volume
24.5%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (23d)Updated 13m ago
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?". April 30 is leading at 24.5%. Total volume is $55K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
April 30
24.5%
Total Vol
$55K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?". April 30 is leading at 24.5%. Total volume is $55K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
97h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
97h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
JD Vance Spent All Night in Iran Peace Talks as President Trump Threatens He’s ‘Blowing Up Everything’ - nationalenquirer.com
nationalenquirer.com·3h ago·neutral
Report: Trump to deploy JD Vance as top negotiator in Iran peace talks - MSN
MSN·8h ago·neutral
Trump to send JD Vance to Pakistan for talks on Iran war - will he be the chief negotiator? - MSN
MSN·1d ago·neutral
President Donald Trump Says He’ll Blame VP JD Vance If Iran War Negotiations Fall Through - nationalenquirer.com
nationalenquirer.com·3d ago·neutral
Trump Tells JD Vance He'll Take the Fall if Iran War Deal Crumbles: 'If It Does Happen, I’m Taking Full Credit' - People.com
People.com·3d ago·neutral
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