Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before July 1, 2026
$12K volume
69.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jul 1, 2026 (2mo)Updated 13m ago
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?". Before July 1, 2026 is leading at 69.0%. Total volume is $12K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before July 1, 2026
69.0%
Total Vol
$12K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?". Before July 1, 2026 is leading at 69.0%. Total volume is $12K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jul 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
153h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
153h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Russian tanker reaches Cuba with humanitarian cargo of 700,000 barrels of oil: Read how US embargo is crippling the country as Trump tries another regime change - OpIndia
OpIndia·4d ago·neutral
Claudia Sheinbaum keeps on defending Mexico’s right to send oil to Cuba - - mexicodailypost.com
mexicodailypost.com·4d ago·neutral
Claudia Sheinbaum keeps defending Mexico’s right to send oil to Cuba - - mexicodailypost.com
mexicodailypost.com·4d ago·neutral
Mexico-Cuba pact to continue exporting crude oil - MEXICONOW
MEXICONOW·5d ago·neutral
President Sheinbaum defends Mexico's right to send oil to Cuba - upi.com
upi.com·6d ago·neutral
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