Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2026
$52K volume
12.0%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 1, 2026 (3mo)Updated 1m ago
Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?
Live prediction market odds for "Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?". Before 2026 is leading at 12.0%. Total volume is $52K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before 2026
12.0%
Total Vol
$52K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?". Before 2026 is leading at 12.0%. Total volume is $52K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Aug 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
831h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
831h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Guns and ganja: Supreme Court skeptical of federal law banning firearm possession for regular marijuana users
Bing News·33d ago·neutral
SCOTUS Seems Skeptical of the Federal Ban on Gun Possession by Cannabis Consumers
Bing News·34d ago·neutral
Supreme Court could loosen law barring marijuana users from owning guns
Bing News·34d ago·neutral
Supreme Court ponders law making it a crime for marijuana users to own guns - NPR
NPR·34d ago·neutral
Supreme Court wrestles with gun ban for drug users - Politico
Politico·34d ago·neutral
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