Home›📈Economics›Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 14m ago

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Live prediction market odds for "Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 30.0%. Total volume is $42K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Before 2027
30.0%
Total Vol
$42K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2027
$42K volume
30.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?". Before 2027 is leading at 30.0%. Total volume is $42K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

40%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 8 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
40%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
40%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5046h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
40%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5046h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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