Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$1K volume
64.0%
—
Cut >25bps
$805 volume
20.0%
—
Hike >25bps
$316 volume
10.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 26, 2028 (1y 295d)Updated 2m ago
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Jan 2028?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 64.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut >25bps at 20.0%. Total volume is $5K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 26, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
64.0%
Total Vol
$5K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Jan 2028?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 64.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut >25bps at 20.0%. Total volume is $5K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 26, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jan 26, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
446h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
446h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will Jerome Powell remain at the Federal Reserve after his term as chair ends? - Chase Bank
Chase Bank·5d ago·neutral
Fed keeps key rate unchanged as Powell vows to stay until DOJ investigation is finished - WHEC.com
WHEC.com·17d ago·neutral
DOJ investigation into Powell could backfire on Trump and keep Fed chair in office - BNN Bloomberg
BNN Bloomberg·17d ago·neutral
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Powell Vows to Stay Amid DOJ Probe - bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com·18d ago·neutral
Fed keeps key rate unchanged as Powell vows to stay until DOJ investigation is finished - Yakima Herald-Republic
Yakima Herald-Republic·18d ago·neutral
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