Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December Meeting
$52K volume
64.0%
—
October Meeting
$37K volume
55.4%
—
September Meeting
$78K volume
43.0%
—
January Meeting
$32K volume
21.5%
—
April Meeting
$339K volume
1.1%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)Updated 2m ago
Fed rate cut by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate cut by...?". December Meeting is leading at 64.0%. The next most likely outcome is October Meeting at 55.4%. Total volume is $1.3M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 28, 2026.
Leading Outcome
December Meeting
64.0%
Total Vol
$1.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate cut by...?". December Meeting is leading at 64.0%. The next most likely outcome is October Meeting at 55.4%. Total volume is $1.3M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 28, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jan 28, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.045 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
12h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
12h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Powell’s inflation warning dampens rate cut expectations for June FOMC meeting: FT - Crypto Briefing
Crypto Briefing·1h ago·neutral
How Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty Is Shaping The Evolving Story For Econocom Group (ENXTBR:ECONB) - Yahoo Finance Singapore
Yahoo Finance Singapore·7h ago·neutral
Fed Rate Decision 2026: One Projected Cut and Long-Term Investment Focus - News and Statistics - IndexBox
IndexBox·8h ago·neutral
Dollar Index Retreats as Market Price in Low Rate Cut Chance - MarketForces Africa
MarketForces Africa·10h ago·neutral
J.P. Morgan Predicts No Rate Cuts in 2026: Winners, Losers and the Dollar Impact
Bing News·10h ago·bearish
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