Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
above 6.5%
$12K volume
84.1%
—
above 6.6%
$166 volume
70.0%
—
above 6.7%
$1K volume
55.0%
—
above 6.8%
$10 volume
45.0%
—
above 7.0%
$21 volume
31.0%
—
above 6.9%
Volume n/a
28.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 11m ago
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
Live prediction market odds for "How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?". above 6.5% is leading at 84.1%. The next most likely outcome is above 6.6% at 70.0%. Total volume is $41K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
above 6.5%
84.1%
Total Vol
$41K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?". above 6.5% is leading at 84.1%. The next most likely outcome is above 6.6% at 70.0%. Total volume is $41K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
99h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
99h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Current 30-Year Mortgage Rates - Forbes
Forbes·3d ago·neutral
Average US long-term mortgage rate climbs to 6.46%, the highest level in nearly 7 months
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Will Mortgage Rates Go Down In April? - Bankrate
Bankrate·3d ago·neutral
Current Mortgage Rates: March 30 to April 3, 2026 - money.com
money.com·3d ago·neutral
Mortgage Rates Today: April 2, 2026 – Rates Hold Steady
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Related Economics Markets
Fed decision in March?
Lead 0.1% · 25+ bps increase
Vol $518.6M
Fed decision in April?
Lead 98.0% · No change
Vol $54.0M
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Lead 85.2% · Yes
Vol $21.0M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Lead 37.4% · 0 (0 bps)
Vol $16.4M
Fed decision in Apr 2026?
Lead 99.0% · Fed maintains rate
Vol $9.9M
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Lead 30.8% · 3.75%
Vol $6.0M