Market comparison

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $102K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 15, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $85K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
5.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1% ↓ 5.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8% ↓ 5.70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% ↓ 5.90% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 6.00% · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% ↓ 6.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.20% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% ↓ 6.25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.30% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.50% · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% ↓ 6.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 6.75% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 7.00% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 7.25% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 86.0% ↑ 7.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 6.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.2% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 92.4% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.5% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.4% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.6% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.7% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.8% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 6.9% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.0% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.1% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.2% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 7.3% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 78.0% Above 7.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 55.0% Above 7.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 43.0% Above 7.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 7.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0% Above 7.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 7.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 8.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 8.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—

5.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1%

↓ 5.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.8%

↓ 5.70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

↓ 5.90%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 6.00% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

↓ 6.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.20% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

↓ 6.25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.30% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.50% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

↓ 6.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 6.75% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 7.00% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 7.25% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 86.0%

↑ 7.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 6.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0%

Above 6.2% · closed

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.70%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.90%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.00%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.20%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.30%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.75%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.00%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.50%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.7%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.8%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.1%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 7.5%

Polymarket