Home📌OtherMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 1h ago

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?". 2k is leading at 98.8%. The next most likely outcome is 3k at 88.0%. Total volume is $7.5M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
2k
98.8%
Total Vol
$7.5M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
2k
$36K volume
98.8%
3k
$28K volume
88.0%
4k
$132K volume
68.0%
5k
$190K volume
48.5%
7.5k
$154K volume
22.5%
10k
$6.5M volume
14.5%
12.5k
$317K volume
11.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?". 2k is leading at 98.8%. The next most likely outcome is 3k at 88.0%. Total volume is $7.5M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
74h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
74h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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