Market comparison

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

17 outcomes · $8.2M reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑1k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑2k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑3.5k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑3k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.3% Bid 96.6% · Ask 100.0% ↑4.5k Open Polymarket ↗ — Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% ↑4.5k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.75k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.5% Bid 95.1% · Ask 99.8% ↑4.75k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑4k · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.3% Bid 94.8% · Ask 99.8% ↑5.5k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.4% Bid 97.3% · Ask 99.5% ↑5k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0% ↑6.5k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.0% ↑6k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0% ↑7.5k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0% ↑7k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
10k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.6% · Ask 7.5% ↑10k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
12.5k Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.4% · Ask 6.5% ↑12.5k Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑500 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 500 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 750 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 750 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 1000 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1250 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 1250 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 1500 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1750 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 1750 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 2000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 2000 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 3000 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 4000 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 96.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 5000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Above 6000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 7000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 75.0% Above 7000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 8000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Above 8000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 9000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 34.0% Above 9000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 10000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Above 10000 Open Kalshi ↗	—

1k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑1k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑2k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑3.5k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑3k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.3%

Bid 96.6% · Ask 100.0%

↑4.5k

Open Polymarket ↗

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

↑4.5k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.75k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

97.5%

Bid 95.1% · Ask 99.8%

↑4.75k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑4k · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

97.3%

Bid 94.8% · Ask 99.8%

↑5.5k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.4%

Bid 97.3% · Ask 99.5%

↑5k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

84.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0%

↑6.5k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

89.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.0%

↑6k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

↑7.5k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 63.0%

↑7k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

10k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 7.5%

↑10k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

12.5k

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 6.5%

↑12.5k

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑500 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 500 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 750

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 750 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1250

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1250 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1500 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1750

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1750 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 2000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 2000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 3000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 4000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 5000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 5000

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 6000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

Above 6000

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 7000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 75.0%

Above 7000

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 8000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 8000

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 9000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 9000

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 10000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above 10000

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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