Home🎬CultureOscar nominations for Best Actor?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2027 (1y 269d)Updated 13m ago

Oscar nominations for Best Actor?

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Actor?". Tom Cruise is leading at 61.0%. The next most likely outcome is John Malkovich at 56.0%. Total volume is $19K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Tom Cruise
61.0%
Total Vol
$19K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tom Cruise
$5K volume
61.0%
John Malkovich
$1K volume
56.0%
Matt Damon
$2K volume
54.0%
Sebastian Stan
$1K volume
52.0%
Ryan Gosling
$6K volume
45.0%
Sam Rockwell
$311 volume
31.0%
Josh O'Connor
$1K volume
31.0%
Jaafar Jackson
$216 volume
28.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Actor?". Tom Cruise is leading at 61.0%. The next most likely outcome is John Malkovich at 56.0%. Total volume is $19K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 16 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
73h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
73h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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