Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Actor?

2 venues · 73 outcome rows · 27 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $503K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

89 outcomes · $425K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adam Driver Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Adam Driver Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Adam Driver Open Polymarket ↗ 4.6% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.1% Adam Driver Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Garfield Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗	71.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0% Andrew Garfield Open Polymarket ↗	66.0 pp
Andrew Scott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗	16.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Andrew Scott Open Polymarket ↗ 85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Andrew Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Scott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗	3.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4% Adam Scott Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Anthony Ippolito Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	38.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Anthony Ippolito Open Polymarket ↗ 30.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 38.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brad Pitt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Brad Pitt Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.0% Brad Pitt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Channing Tatum Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗	6.8% Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3% Channing Tatum Open Polymarket ↗	5.8 pp
Charles Melton Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.6% Charles Melton Open Polymarket ↗	1.9 pp
Guy Pearce Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Guy Pearce Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 6.3% Guy Pearce Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaafar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Jaafar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Javier Bardem Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Javier Bardem Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Javier Bardem Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Javier Bardem Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jeremy Strong Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗ 11.5% Bid 2.9% · Ask 20.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Malkovich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗	43.6% Bid 42.5% · Ask 44.7% John Malkovich Open Polymarket ↗ 87.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% John Malkovich Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Turturro Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% John Turturro Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.0% John Turturro Open Polymarket ↗ 46.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 56.0% John Turturro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josh O'Connor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Josh O'Connor Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Josh O'Connor Open Polymarket ↗ 4.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.9% Josh O'Connor Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mahershala Ali Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Mahershala Ali Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Mahershala Ali Open Polymarket ↗	9.4 pp
Matt Damon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗ 94.2% Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.8% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pedro Pascal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗ 14.6% Bid 13.2% · Ask 16.0% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Aramayo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Robert Aramayo Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Robert Aramayo Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1% Robert Aramayo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Pattinson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗	3.4% Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.6% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗ 48.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗ 30.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 42.0% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryan Gosling Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	46.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.4% Ryan Gosling Open Polymarket ↗ 43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% Ryan Gosling Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Rockwell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗ 7.5% Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗ 73.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sebastian Stan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Sebastian Stan Open Polymarket ↗ 17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Sebastian Stan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Timothée Chalamet Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.8% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗ 10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tom Cruise Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Tom Cruise Open Polymarket ↗ 60.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 63.0% Tom Cruise Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tom Holland Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.4% Tom Holland Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Yura Borisov Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Yura Borisov Open Polymarket ↗	23.4 pp
Actor F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Antonio Banderas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.9% Antonio Banderas Open Polymarket ↗	—
Colman Domingo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Colman Domingo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daniel Craig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7% Daniel Craig Open Polymarket ↗	—
DEACTIVED Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% DEACTIVED Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dominic Sessa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Dominic Sessa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Edward Norton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.5% Bid 48.0% · Ask 61.0% Edward Norton Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ethan Hawke Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ethan Hawke Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Guitarricadelafuente Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.5% Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0% Guitarricadelafuente Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hanns Zischler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Hanns Zischler Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Himesh Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.2% Himesh Patel Open Polymarket ↗	—
James Ortiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% James Ortiz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jeremy Allen White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Jeremy Allen White Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jesse Plemons Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0% Jesse Plemons Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Goodman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.7% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.3% John Goodman Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Leguizamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0% John Leguizamo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Keanu Reeves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Keanu Reeves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Fassbender Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.3% Bid 4.1% · Ask 10.5% Michael Fassbender Open Polymarket ↗	—
Miles Teller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 10.3% Miles Teller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Paul Giamatti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0% Paul Giamatti Open Polymarket ↗	—
Riz Ahmed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Riz Ahmed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert De Niro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert De Niro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert DeNiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert DeNiro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sacha Baron Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Sacha Baron Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Skyler Gisondo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steve Buscemi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Steve Buscemi Open Polymarket ↗	—

Adam Driver

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Adam Driver

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Adam Driver

Oscar nominations for Best Actor?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Adam Driver

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Garfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anthony Ippolito

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brad Pitt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Channing Tatum

Kalshi

Polymarket

Charles Melton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Guy Pearce

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaafar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Javier Bardem

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jeremy Strong

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Malkovich

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Turturro

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh O'Connor

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mahershala Ali

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matt Damon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Pedro Pascal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Aramayo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Pattinson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ryan Gosling

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Rockwell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sebastian Stan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Timothée Chalamet

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tom Cruise

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tom Holland

Kalshi