Homeโ€บ๐ŸŽฌCultureโ€บOscar nominations for Best Director?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2027 (1y 269d)Updated 19m ago

Oscar nominations for Best Director?

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Director?". Christopher Nolan is leading at 79.0%. The next most likely outcome is Martin McDonagh at 59.0%. Total volume is $6K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Christopher Nolan
79.0%
Total Vol
$6K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Christopher Nolan
$2K volume
79.0%
โ€”
Martin McDonagh
$905 volume
59.0%
โ€”
David Fincher
$761 volume
32.0%
โ€”
Christopher Miller
$321 volume
31.0%
โ€”
Phil Lord
$322 volume
31.0%
โ€”
Joel Coen
$256 volume
30.0%
โ€”
Steven Spielberg
$1K volume
25.0%
โ€”
Andrew Haigh
Volume n/a
20.0%
โ€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Director?". Christopher Nolan is leading at 79.0%. The next most likely outcome is Martin McDonagh at 59.0%. Total volume is $6K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score โ€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown ยท Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A ยท Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B ยท Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C ยท Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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