Home🎬CultureOscar nominations for Best Picture?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2027 (1y 269d)Updated 3m ago

Oscar nominations for Best Picture?

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Picture?". The Odyssey is leading at 89.0%. The next most likely outcome is Project Hail Mary at 70.0%. Total volume is $91K across 28 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
The Odyssey
89.0%
Total Vol
$91K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
The Odyssey
$4K volume
89.0%
Project Hail Mary
$41K volume
70.0%
Dune: Part Three
$5K volume
69.0%
Digger
$3K volume
66.0%
Wild Horse Nine
$4K volume
64.0%
Disclosure Day
$5K volume
39.0%
The Social Reckoning
$889 volume
39.0%
Fjord
$4K volume
38.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar nominations for Best Picture?". The Odyssey is leading at 89.0%. The next most likely outcome is Project Hail Mary at 70.0%. Total volume is $91K across 28 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 9 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
80h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
80h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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