Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Picture?

2 venues · 74 outcome rows · 24 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

68 outcomes · $591K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
All of a Sudden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0% All of a Sudden Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗ 37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Artificial Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	55.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0% Artificial Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% Artificial Open Polymarket ↗	54.6 pp
Avengers: Doomsday Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Avengers: Doomsday Open Polymarket ↗ 8.8% Bid 7.8% · Ask 9.9% Avengers: Doomsday Open Polymarket ↗	—
Behemoth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 18.0% Behemoth Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗ 17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗	—
Clarissa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Clarissa Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	3.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.5% Digger Open Polymarket ↗ 19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—
Disclosure Day Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Disclosure Day Open Polymarket ↗ 4.9% Bid 3.7% · Ask 6.1% Disclosure Day Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 86.5% Bid 86.0% · Ask 87.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elsinore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Elsinore Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗ 30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fjord Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0% Fjord Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.8% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗ 35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗	—
I Play Rocky Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% I Play Rocky Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% I Play Rocky Open Polymarket ↗ 39.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 41.0% I Play Rocky Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josephine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Josephine Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	11.7 pp
Michael Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Michael Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Michael Open Polymarket ↗ 10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Michael Open Polymarket ↗	—
Obsession Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0% Obsession Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗ 33.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	81.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 82.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 77.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 78.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	—
Saturn Return Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Saturn Return Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗	3.9 pp
The Debut Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 77.0% The Debut Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗ 78.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Drama Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% The Drama Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗ 2.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.4% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Invite Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0% The Invite Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 58.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	45.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 97.2% Bid 95.2% · Ask 99.1% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 3.9% · Ask 5.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tony Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Tony Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Tony Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	90.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.4% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗ 91.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	—
You Can See Everything Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0% You Can See Everything Open Kalshi ↗	20.3% Bid 20.0% · Ask 20.5% You Can See Everything Open Polymarket ↗ 72.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0% You Can See Everything Open Polymarket ↗	—
1949 / Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% 1949 / Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Backrooms Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Backrooms Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Being Heumann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0% Being Heumann Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bucking Fastard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Bucking Fastard Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Club Kid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Club Kid Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cry to Heaven Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.9% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Film Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Film Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hope Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Hope Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
I Love Boosters Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% I Love Boosters Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ink Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jack of Spades Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jack of Spades Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
La Bola Negra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% La Bola Negra Open Polymarket ↗ 94.5% Bid 93.0% · Ask 96.0% La Bola Negra Open Polymarket ↗	—
Minotaur Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Minotaur Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Misty Green Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Misty Green Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Narnia: The Magician's Nephew Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paper Tiger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Paper Tiger Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Parallel Tales Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Parallel Tales Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Possible Love Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% Possible Love Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Primetime Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% Primetime Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rose Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Rose Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sense and Sensibility Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Sense and Sensibility Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗ 20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% The Black Ball Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Death of Robin Hood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% The Death of Robin Hood Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Entertainment System Is Down Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% The Entertainment System Is Down Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Uprising Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% The Uprising Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Whisper Man Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% The Whisper Man Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Werwulf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wildwood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

All of a Sudden

Oscar nominations for Best Picture?

Kalshi

Polymarket

All of a Sudden

Kalshi

Polymarket

Artificial

Kalshi

Polymarket

Avengers: Doomsday

Kalshi

Polymarket

Behemoth

Kalshi

Polymarket

Clarissa

Kalshi

Polymarket

Digger

Kalshi

Polymarket

Disclosure Day

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elsinore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fjord

Kalshi

Polymarket

I Play Rocky

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josephine

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michael

Kalshi

Polymarket

Obsession

Kalshi

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Kalshi

Polymarket

Saturn Return

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Debut

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Drama

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Invite

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Social Reckoning

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tony

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wild Horse Nine

Kalshi

Polymarket

You Can See Everything

Kalshi

Polymarket

1949 / Fatherland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Backrooms

Kalshi