Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Starts
$1.3M volume
33.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 31, 2027 (10mo)Updated 9m ago
Recession this year?
Live prediction market odds for "Recession this year?". Starts is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $1.3M across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Starts
33.0%
Total Vol
$1.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Recession this year?". Starts is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $1.3M across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 31, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bearishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
65%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.215 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
65%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
65%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
80%
Median Age
56h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
65%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
80%
Median Age
56h
Avg Sentiment
-0.200
Neutral %
20%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
82 per cent of people fear a recession in the next year, poll shows - echo live
echo live·9h ago·bearish
Investor Focus: UK Recession Risks, Top FTSE Stocks This Quarter, Could Oil Prices Keep Rising? - Morningstar
Morningstar·1d ago·bearish
You Decide: Is the Economy Headed for a Nosedive? - NC State University
NC State University·2d ago·neutral
Walmart-related recession indicator is at its highest point since the 2008 financial crisis - moneywise.com
moneywise.com·2d ago·bearish
Windsor-Essex could face recession if tariffs continue, union warns one year in - CTV News
CTV News·2d ago·bearish
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