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Live marketEnds Jan 13, 2027 (9mo)Updated 6m ago

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Live prediction market odds for "State of the economy at the end of 2026". Soft landing is leading at 36.5%. The next most likely outcome is Stagflation at 32.8%. Total volume is $16K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 13, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Soft landing
36.5%
Total Vol
$16K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Soft landing
$4K volume
36.5%
—
Stagflation
$11K volume
32.8%
—
Overheating
$422 volume
23.8%
—
Slack / disinflation
$848 volume
11.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "State of the economy at the end of 2026". Soft landing is leading at 36.5%. The next most likely outcome is Stagflation at 32.8%. Total volume is $16K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 13, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 13, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

63%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.179 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
193h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
193h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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