Home🤖ai_techWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 3m ago

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?". Anthropic is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is OpenAI at 29.0%. Total volume is $399K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Anthropic
59.0%
Total Vol
$399K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Anthropic
$112K volume
59.0%
OpenAI
$59K volume
29.0%
Google
$80K volume
12.0%
xAI
$62K volume
7.0%
DeepSeek
$39K volume
3.0%
Moonshot AI
$15K volume
1.0%
Baidu
$6K volume
1.0%
Alibaba
$19K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?". Anthropic is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is OpenAI at 29.0%. Total volume is $399K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.088 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 28 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
422h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
422h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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