Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Claude
$10K volume
49.0%
—
Gemini
$5K volume
14.0%
—
Grok
$5K volume
12.0%
—
ChatGPT
$3K volume
10.0%
—
Other
$576 volume
5.0%
—
Kimi
$670 volume
3.0%
—
Qwen
$528 volume
1.0%
—
Ernie
$107 volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 10m ago
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Live prediction market odds for "Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?". Claude is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Gemini at 14.0%. Total volume is $24K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Claude
49.0%
Total Vol
$24K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?". Claude is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Gemini at 14.0%. Total volume is $24K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
30%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 6 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 35 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
1
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3797h
Sources
1
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3797h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
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