Home🤖ai_techWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 3m ago

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?". OpenAI is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is xAI at 33.0%. Total volume is $891K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
OpenAI
59.0%
Total Vol
$891K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
OpenAI
$42K volume
59.0%
xAI
$48K volume
33.0%
Deepseek
$16K volume
18.0%
Meta
$8K volume
16.0%
Baidu
$10K volume
12.0%
Alibaba
$7K volume
12.0%
Mistral
$2K volume
10.0%
Moonshot AI
$1K volume
8.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?". OpenAI is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is xAI at 33.0%. Total volume is $891K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 8 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
161h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
161h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Markets Markets

Explore Other Categories