Home📈EconomicsWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 4m ago

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?". John Brennan is leading at 56.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jack Smith at 36.0%. Total volume is $639K across 33 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
John Brennan
56.0%
Total Vol
$639K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
John Brennan
$12K volume
56.0%
Jack Smith
$21K volume
36.0%
Ilhan Omar
$39K volume
35.0%
James Comey
$25K volume
35.0%
Letitia James
$29K volume
34.0%
James Clapper
$12K volume
30.0%
Raúl Castro
$632 volume
28.0%
Fani Willis
$2K volume
25.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?". John Brennan is leading at 56.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jack Smith at 36.0%. Total volume is $639K across 33 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
175h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
175h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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