Market comparison

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

1 venue · 47 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

47 outcomes · $2.0M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Adam Schiff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 8.9% · Ask 9.0% Adam Schiff Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvin Bragg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0% Alvin Bragg Open Kalshi ↗	—
Andrew Weissmann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% Andrew Weissmann Open Kalshi ↗	—
Anthony Fauci Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Anthony Fauci Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barack Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.1% Barack Obama Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bill Clinton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.7% Bill Clinton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cassidy Hutchinson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Cassidy Hutchinson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chris Christie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.9% Chris Christie Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chris Krebs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.5% · Ask 8.5% Chris Krebs Open Kalshi ↗	—
Christopher Wray Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 4.8% · Ask 4.9% Christopher Wray Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dan J. Sullivan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Dan J. Sullivan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Don Lemon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Don Lemon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
E. Jean Carroll Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% E. Jean Carroll Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elissa Slotkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.7% Elissa Slotkin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fani Willis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Fani Willis Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—
George Soros Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% George Soros Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gustavo Petro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Gustavo Petro Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hillary Clinton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.4% Hillary Clinton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hunter Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.1% Bid 9.1% · Ask 10.0% Hunter Biden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ilhan Omar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0% Ilhan Omar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jack Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Jack Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jacob Frey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.8% Jacob Frey Open Kalshi ↗	—
James Clapper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 9.1% · Ask 9.6% James Clapper Open Kalshi ↗	—
James Comey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.9% Bid 98.0% · Ask 98.9% James Comey · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jennifer Siebel Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Jennifer Siebel Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jerome Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 2.5% · Ask 5.1% Jerome Powell Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joe Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1% Joe Biden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joe Kent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 7.0% Joe Kent Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Brennan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% John Brennan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keith Ellison Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 9.1% · Ask 9.7% Keith Ellison Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kimberly Guilfoyle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Kimberly Guilfoyle Open Kalshi ↗	—
Larry Krasner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Larry Krasner Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leon Black Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Leon Black Open Kalshi ↗	—
Letitia James Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Letitia James Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lisa Cook Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Lisa Cook Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lisa Monaco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Lisa Monaco Open Kalshi ↗	—
Liz Cheney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.1% Liz Cheney Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mark Kelly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.9% Mark Kelly Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mark Milley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 4.5% · Ask 5.8% Mark Milley Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miles Taylor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Miles Taylor Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pam Bondi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.4% Pam Bondi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Peter Strzok Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 9.8% · Ask 9.9% Peter Strzok Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raúl Castro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.4% Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0% Raúl Castro · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reid Hoffman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Reid Hoffman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tim Walz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 9.6% · Ask 9.9% Tim Walz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tucker Carlson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 4.7% · Ask 4.8% Tucker Carlson Open Kalshi ↗	—

Adam Schiff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 9.0%

Adam Schiff

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvin Bragg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0%

Alvin Bragg

Open Kalshi ↗

Andrew Weissmann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

Andrew Weissmann

Open Kalshi ↗

Anthony Fauci

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Anthony Fauci

Open Kalshi ↗

Barack Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.1%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.1%

Barack Obama

Open Kalshi ↗

Bill Clinton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.7%

Bill Clinton

Open Kalshi ↗

Cassidy Hutchinson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Cassidy Hutchinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Chris Christie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.9%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.9%

Chris Christie

Open Kalshi ↗

Chris Krebs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 8.5%

Chris Krebs

Open Kalshi ↗

Christopher Wray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.8%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 4.9%

Christopher Wray

Open Kalshi ↗

Dan J. Sullivan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Dan J. Sullivan

Open Kalshi ↗

Don Lemon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Don Lemon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

E. Jean Carroll

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

E. Jean Carroll

Open Kalshi ↗

Elissa Slotkin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.2%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.7%

Elissa Slotkin

Open Kalshi ↗

Fani Willis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Fani Willis

Open Kalshi ↗

Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Gavin Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

George Soros

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

George Soros

Open Kalshi ↗

Gustavo Petro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Gustavo Petro

Open Kalshi ↗

Hillary Clinton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.4%

Hillary Clinton

Open Kalshi ↗

Hunter Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.1%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 10.0%

Hunter Biden

Open Kalshi ↗

Ilhan Omar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ilhan Omar

Open Kalshi ↗

Jack Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Jack Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Jacob Frey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.8%

Jacob Frey

Open Kalshi ↗

James Clapper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.6%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 9.6%

James Clapper

Open Kalshi ↗

James Comey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.9%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 98.9%

James Comey · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jennifer Siebel Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jennifer Siebel Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

Jerome Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 5.1%

Jerome Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

Joe Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1%

Joe Biden

Open Kalshi ↗

Joe Kent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.3%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 7.0%

Joe Kent

Open Kalshi ↗

John Brennan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

John Brennan

Open Kalshi ↗

Keith Ellison

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 9.7%

Keith Ellison

Open Kalshi ↗

Kimberly Guilfoyle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Kimberly Guilfoyle

Open Kalshi ↗

Larry Krasner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Larry Krasner

Open Kalshi ↗

Leon Black

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Leon Black

Open Kalshi ↗

Letitia James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Letitia James

Open Kalshi ↗

Lisa Cook

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Lisa Cook

Open Kalshi ↗

Lisa Monaco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Lisa Monaco

Open Kalshi ↗

Liz Cheney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.1%

Liz Cheney

Open Kalshi ↗

Mark Kelly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.9%

Mark Kelly

Open Kalshi ↗

Mark Milley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.8%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 5.8%

Mark Milley

Open Kalshi ↗

Miles Taylor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Miles Taylor

Open Kalshi ↗

Pam Bondi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.4%

Pam Bondi

Open Kalshi ↗

Peter Strzok

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 9.9%

Peter Strzok

Open Kalshi ↗

Raúl Castro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.4%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0%

Raúl Castro · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Reid Hoffman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Reid Hoffman

Open Kalshi ↗

Tim Walz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 9.9%

Tim Walz

Open Kalshi ↗

Tucker Carlson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 4.8%

Tucker Carlson

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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