Home🏛️PoliticsHungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Live marketEnds Apr 12, 2026 (6d)Updated 11m ago

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner". TISZA is leading at 69.0%. The next most likely outcome is KDNP at 31.5%. Total volume is $57.1M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Leading Outcome
TISZA
69.0%
Total Vol
$57.1M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
TISZA
$1.7M volume
69.0%
KDNP
$1.9M volume
31.5%
MSZP
$486K volume
0.1%
Párbeszéd
$7.1M volume
0.1%
Momentum
$959K volume
0.1%
LMP
$15.0M volume
0.1%
DK
$7.6M volume
0.1%
Mi Hazánk
$1.3M volume
0.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner". TISZA is leading at 69.0%. The next most likely outcome is KDNP at 31.5%. Total volume is $57.1M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 12, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.058 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 30 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
67h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
67h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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