Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
JD Vance 20.1%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Nov 7, 2028 (2y 30d)Updated 22h ago
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Live prediction market odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028". JD Vance is leading at 20.1%. The next most likely outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13.2%. Total volume is $714.4M across 54 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Leading Outcome
JD Vance
20.1%
Total Vol
$714.4M
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
JD Vance
$16.8M volume
20.1%
—
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$13.9M volume
13.2%
—
Jon Ossoff
$5.9M volume
10.3%
—
Gavin Newsom
$18.5M volume
8.1%
—
Marco Rubio
$12.8M volume
5.8%
—
Kamala Harris
$9.2M volume
4.5%
—
Josh Shapiro
$7.6M volume
3.0%
—
Pete Buttigieg
$8.4M volume
2.8%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028". JD Vance is leading at 20.1%. The next most likely outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13.2%. Total volume is $714.4M across 54 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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