Live prediction market odds for "2028 Democratic nominee for President?". Gavin Newsom is leading at 27.3%. The next most likely outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.5%. Total volume is $80.7M across 44 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Live prediction market odds for "2028 Democratic nominee for President?". Gavin Newsom is leading at 27.3%. The next most likely outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.5%. Total volume is $80.7M across 44 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
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Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.