Home🏛️PoliticsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Live marketEnds Nov 7, 2028 (2y 216d)Updated 6m ago

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Live prediction market odds for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd) is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 37.1%. Total volume is $520.7M across 36 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.

Leading Outcome
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
49.0%
Total Vol
$520.7M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Volume n/a
49.0%
J.D. Vance
$10.1M volume
37.1%
Marco Rubio
$6.9M volume
21.9%
Tucker Carlson
$7.5M volume
4.7%
Ron DeSantis
$10.4M volume
2.6%
Donald Trump
$6.6M volume
1.8%
Donald Trump Jr.
$6.0M volume
1.6%
Glenn Youngkin
$5.7M volume
1.6%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd) is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 37.1%. Total volume is $520.7M across 36 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.

Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
44h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
44h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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