Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd) 49.0%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Nov 7, 2028 (2y 30d)Updated 1d ago
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Live prediction market odds for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd) is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 48.9%. Total volume is $778.6M across 53 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket, Kalshi, Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
49.0%
Total Vol
$778.6M
Across 3 venues
Platforms
3
2 comparable
Best Spread
585 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Volume n/a
49.0%
—
J.D. Vance
$15.8M volume
48.9%
585 bps
stale quote
Marco Rubio
$5.6M volume
16.0%
75 bps
stale quote
Before 2028
$38K volume
7.8%
—
Ron DeSantis
$3.2M volume
4.3%
155 bps
stale quote
Tucker Carlson
$13.8M volume
3.1%
15 bps
stale quote
Donald Trump Jr.
$2.9M volume
2.9%
130 bps
stale quote
Ted Cruz
$19.7M volume
2.5%
25 bps
stale quote
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd) is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is J.D. Vance at 48.9%. Total volume is $778.6M across 53 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket, Kalshi, Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Outcome Leaderboards by Platform
Polymarket
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
49.0%
J.D. Vance
48.9%
Marco Rubio
15.3%
Tucker Carlson
3.1%
Kalshi
J.D. Vance
43.0%
Marco Rubio
16.0%
Ron DeSantis
4.3%
Tucker Carlson
3.0%
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