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Live marketEnds May 19, 2026 (1mo)Updated 11m ago

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner". Jerry Carl is leading at 42.5%. The next most likely outcome is Rhett Marques at 42.0%. Total volume is $38K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 19, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Jerry Carl
42.5%
Total Vol
$38K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Jerry Carl
$155 volume
42.5%
Rhett Marques
$15 volume
42.0%
James Dees
$4K volume
28.9%
Joshua McKee
$9 volume
25.5%
Austin Sidwell
$13K volume
8.0%
John Mills
$15K volume
3.1%
James Richardson
$5K volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner". Jerry Carl is leading at 42.5%. The next most likely outcome is Rhett Marques at 42.0%. Total volume is $38K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 19, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 19, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
109h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
109h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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