Home🏛️PoliticsAlaska Governor Election Winner
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 2h ago

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Governor Election Winner ". Tom Begich is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 20.5%. Total volume is $741K across 17 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Tom Begich
24.0%
Total Vol
$741K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tom Begich
$95K volume
24.0%
Bernadette Wilson
$130K volume
20.5%
Treg Taylor
$4K volume
15.1%
Candidate A
$480 volume
12.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$98K volume
10.4%
Click Bishop
$2K volume
7.1%
Matt Heilala
$24K volume
4.9%
Candidate C
$398 volume
2.5%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Governor Election Winner ". Tom Begich is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is Bernadette Wilson at 20.5%. Total volume is $741K across 17 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.043 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
814h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
814h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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