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Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 8m ago

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Senate Election Winner". Mary Peltola is leading at 61.5%. The next most likely outcome is Dan Sullivan at 38.5%. Total volume is $292K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Mary Peltola
61.5%
Total Vol
$292K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Mary Peltola
$148K volume
61.5%
—
Dan Sullivan
$81K volume
38.5%
—
Ann Diener
$30K volume
0.3%
—
Dustin Darden
$18K volume
0.3%
—
Richard Grayson
$16K volume
0.2%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Alaska Senate Election Winner". Mary Peltola is leading at 61.5%. The next most likely outcome is Dan Sullivan at 38.5%. Total volume is $292K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 6 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
266h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
266h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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