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Live marketEnds Aug 4, 2026 (3mo)Updated 24m ago

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner". Jay Feely is leading at 70.5%. The next most likely outcome is Jason Duey at 5.7%. Total volume is $307K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Jay Feely
70.5%
Total Vol
$307K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Jay Feely
$5K volume
70.5%
Jason Duey
Volume n/a
5.7%
Todd Graham
Volume n/a
5.4%
Joseph Chaplik
$7K volume
5.0%
John Trobough
Volume n/a
3.1%
Brandon Sowers
Volume n/a
2.2%
Derrick Gallego
$3K volume
1.6%
Gina Swoboda
Volume n/a
1.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner". Jay Feely is leading at 70.5%. The next most likely outcome is Jason Duey at 5.7%. Total volume is $307K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
674h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
674h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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